AD Quality Auto 360p 720p 1080p Top articles1/5READ MOREWhicker: Clemson demonstrates that it’s tough to knock out the champThe forest has about 210 permanent firefighting positions. The federal government’s Forest Service leads the frontline response to fires in the San Bernardino Mountains and other national forests. The starting base salary for a Forest Service firefighter is about $32,000, according to the Forest Service. CDF pays the same person almost $50,000. Minimum pay for a San Bernardino city firefighter is about $60,000. The loss of federal firefighters to state and local agencies has always been a fact of life for the USFS. But the pace of departures has noticeably picked up, said Dietrich and others familiar with the situation. “It means that you will not have the federal fire service protection you assume you have,” said Casey Judd, business manager for the Federal Wildland Fire Service Association, which lobbies for federal wildland firefighters. 160Want local news?Sign up for the Localist and stay informed Something went wrong. Please try again.subscribeCongratulations! You’re all set! The United States Forest Service could be facing a crisis, with firefighters leaving in droves for state and local firefighting jobs that offer higher salaries. USFS officials, while accustomed to losing staff to other jobs in California, are alarmed at the increasing numbers of those jumping ship. “It’s been going on for a large number of years, however, not at … this rate,” said Mike Dietrich, fire chief for the San Bernardino National Forest. In 2006, the 671,700-acre San Bernardino National Forest lost 60 USFS firefighters to the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection and other local fire agencies, Dietrich said.
Alan Judge returns to the Brentford line-up as they take on Nottingham Forest.He replaces the injured Marco Djuricin, with Lasse Vibe playing up front on his own.Chelsea loanee John Swift starts while Toumani Diagouraga makes his 200th league appearance of his career.Nottingham Forest show one change from the win over Derby, with Liam Trotter coming in at the expense of Jonathan Williams, who drops to the bench.Brentford: Button; Yennaris, Dean, Tarkowski, Bidwell; McCormack, Diagouraga; Swift, Woods, Judge; Vibe.Subs: Bonham, O’Connell, Kerschbaumer, Saunders, Gogia, Canos, Hofmann.Nottingham Forest: De Vries; Lichaj, Mills, Hobbs, Pinillos; Trotter, Vaughan; Ward, Lansbury, Mendes; Oliveira.Subs: Evtimov, Mancienne, Wilson, Williams, Osborn, Walker, Blackstock.Follow West London Sport on TwitterFind us on Facebook
Jazz maestro Themba Mkhize’s band will pay tribute to South Africa’s late music icons. Zulu Boy is hoping to find artists to collaborate with in France. Da Les’s crew Jozi takes its “energy and swagger” to the Midem festival in France. (Images: Bongani Nkosi) MEDIA CONTACTS • Mack Lewele Communications Director Department of Arts and Culture +27 (12) 441 3084 or +27 82 450 5076 [email protected] RELATED ARTICLES • South African music • African music goes digital • Awards honour SA musicians • The White Zulu on stage in SA • Mambazo win their third Grammy • SA musicians sing for peaceBongani NkosiZulu Boy, a South African rap artist, has hatched his own style of music and for that he’s being sent to Cannes, France, with other hot local talent to represent the country.The rapper, whose real name is Mgingqeni Majozi, will be part of a culturally diverse group of performers who will participate in the 2010 Marché International du Disque et de l’Edition Musicale (Midem) that runs from 24 to 27 January.The event, which has been staged in France since 1966, is the world’s largest music industry trade fair and enables musicians from across the globe to meet face-to-face to network, analyse trends and build partnerships. South Africa is the 2010 Midem country of honour.Zulu Boy was chosen for his unique sound, which fuses Maskandi – a Zulu music genre – and hip hop. These were both types of music that the lad from eNtuzuma, in KwaZulu-Natal province, grew up listening to, so he’s combined the names and called his creation Skandi Hop.“My audience in France will listen to a type of hip hop that they have never heard before,” said Zulu Boy. “I know the overseas market is willing to learn about different cultures and music.”With such a creative blend of influences, Zulu Boy is no typical rap artist. Instead of urban boom bap hip hop beats and rehashed sounds, he introduces the string guitar and lyrics rapped in his mother tongue, isiZulu, and in some songs he fuses this with English.“My music has identity. We are Africans and we have to sound African,” he said.The artist, who’s signed with traditional music label Native Rhythms, promises to deliver an explosive performance in Cannes with a live band. His repertoire will include songs from his second album Inqolobane, released in 2008, and his latest offering, Igoda.He sees going to France as a chance to “network, learn and share knowledge”. “It’s an opportunity to take part in the global community,” he said.Although Zulu Boy has collaborated with international artists in the past – including Colombian rapper Alvaro ‘Ephniko’ Cuello and Ninthe, a female vocalist from the Netherlands – he’s aiming to find French artists to work with while in France.“I know for sure that I will find someone in France to collaborate with, either we will record there or we will do it over the internet,” he said. “If we share common experiences with the world, people in South Africa will learn that we are the same as people in other countries.”SA talent set to wow FranceZulu Boy is not the only local hip hop act at Cannes that will showcase the diversity of South African music. Jozi, a two-man outfit put on the map by their distinct African sound, is also set to wow audiences there.Jozi member Da Les (real name Lesley Mampe) said they are taking their “energy and swagger” to the European country. “We have a different sound compared to everybody else. It’s a fusion of traditional South African music and urban hip hop,” he said.Jozi combines the talents of rapper Da Les and evergreen singer Ishmael Morabe.There will be a rich mix of South African musicians who will perform on the opening night on the 24th and at the Tribute to Miriam Makeba Show on the 26th. The shows will fuse young, but established talents with that of old bucks who have influenced the country’s music over the years.Jazz maestro Themba Mkhize has assembled an eight-member live band that will pay tribute to South Africa’s late musical sensations. The band will perform hot tracks from yesteryear, including Brenda Fassie’s Weekend Special, Solomon Linda’s Mbube and Jabu Khanyile and Bayete’s Mbombela, among others. Slain reggae icon Lucky Dube will also be honoured.“We have been known for our struggle songs for years, now we have an opportunity to showcase who we are in terms of music. We are a people with lots of love and we express that in our music,” said Mkhize. “The festival is an opportunity for us to sample a bit of our music for the world, ranging from the 1950s to today.”The Themba Mkhize band will be key to the South African musicians, playing alongside most of them. It will perform with Zulu Boy, Afrikaans singer Kurt Darren, the queen of Ndebele music Nothembi Mkhwebane and world-renowned flautist Wouter Kellerman.Performances with Xhosa music diva Thandiswa Mazwai, Makeba’s granddaughter Zenzi Lee and veteran Vusi Mahlasela are also scheduled.The South African line-up will also feature talent from elsewhere on the continent. Benin superstar Angelique Kidjo will join other local acts on stage to pay tribute to Makeba, while Kellerman’s performance will be spiced up by Senegalese prodigy Lamine Sonko.Sonko is based in Melborne, Australia, and is a singer, dancer and a percussionist whose style is an eclectic blend of jazz, reggae and West African music. “Our performance in France will be a surprise to the audience. But they will enjoy it,” Sonko said.Critically acclaimed outfit The Parlotones will play the best of South African rock, and award-winning soul singer Lira promises to perform all her chart-topping numbers as well. Other acts to set the stage alight are Tidal Wave, a popular reggae crew, and Maletangwao Cultural Troupe. Dance music disc jockeys Black Coffee, DJ Christos and DJ Static Plastic are set to play 100% home-grown music at the two events in Cannes.“The most important thing is that when we leave that place people must have a sense of what South African music is all about,” said Sipho Sithole of the Department of Arts and Culture advisory committee. “It must be a true reflection of South African music.”Mazwai, who’s known for her socially and politically conscious songs, appreciates the funding and organising by government which has made the French trip possible. “It’s a great thing that the government has done. It should happen again next year.”
Share Facebook Twitter Google + LinkedIn Pinterest Farmers who have been delayed in planting corn could take advantage of a market rally in soybeans and switch to that crop, Purdue agricultural economist Chris Hurt says.Soybean prices surged earlier in the week after a U.S. Department of Agriculture report showed a sharp reduction in global soybean inventories and stronger-than-anticipated demand for U.S. exports.“Delayed planting this spring may actually turn out to be a financial blessing if farmers end up planting more soybean acres,” Hurt said. “Soybean prices have been rising rapidly this spring while corn prices have increased much more slowly.” Financial incentiveSince March 1, soybean prices have risen 25%, or $2.20 per bushel, while corn prices are up only 4%, or about 14 cents per bushel.“Given prospects for high priced soybeans and low priced corn, the financial incentive to shift intended corn acres to soybeans has reached new highs,” Hurt said.Based on crop budgets projected by Purdue agricultural economists, soybean farmers stand to earn $116 more per acre than corn producers this year.“This is one of the highest incentives to shift from one crop to another we have ever seen,” Hurt said.Soybean prices have been moving steadily higher since January, buoyed by a weaker U.S. dollar, which triggered unexpectedly high demand from China, the largest export market for U.S. beans. A weaker dollar makes U.S. exports cheaper for foreign buyers. Acreage shiftThe rally accelerated late last month when heavy rains threatened to delay the harvest in some regions of Argentina, the world’s third-largest soybean producer.Tuesday’s release of the USDA’s World Agricultural Supply and Demand report sparked a renewed wave of buying. July soybean futures prices rose more than 57 cents on the day to close at $10.84 after falling as low as $8.59 last November.July corn futures were up 12 cents Tuesday to settle at $3.81, still below the psychologically important $4 level. Corn prices have been held back in part by last month’s USDA Prospective Plantings report showing farmers intended to plant more corn acres than analysts expected.Since that report was issued, there have been indications that farmers across the country could shift up to 3 million acres from corn, with most of that acreage expected to go to soybeans, Hurt said.“This shift will have a tendency to bring high soybean prices and low corn prices back into better alignment,” he said. “Ultimately, farmers in states like Indiana, Michigan and Ohio that have fallen behind on corn planting may benefit financially if they shift some of that acreage to soybeans.”
Share Facebook Twitter Google + LinkedIn Pinterest Presented by AgroLiquidSee results from Day #1 of the I-71 Leg of The 2017 Ohio Crop TourSee results from Day #1 of the I-75 Leg of The 2017 Ohio Crop TourFollow Day #2 of the I-75 Leg of The Ohio Crop TourClinton County Corn Summary: This corn was fairly short, compared to what we have seen throughout the day and grass and weeds fill the rows. N is still in good shape here. Ears were short, but had some body to them. A few 18s and one 20 around. Ear count was 28 and this field is well in the dent stage. Our yield calc is 172. Clinton CountyClinton CountyClinton County Soybean Summary: We found out from the farmer that there are non-GMO beans and although weeds have gotten in here, the plants were very healthy. A fungicide was recently applied so disease was in check and we did notice slight feeding from Japanese Beetles. These 30 inch rows had a canopy height of 25 inches and the first node was 5 inches off the ground. We rate this field as good. Clinton CountyClinton CountyHighland County Corn Summary: This area is getting a lot of rain at the moment and both fields have standing water due to the excessive rains. As we saw earlier on tour, our samples were vastly different. Both scouts noticed tough emergence issues and this field had some tip back up to 2 inches as well. Some Northern but no insect pressure. Ear count was 30 and our yield guess here is 145.Highland CountyHighland CountyHighland County Soybean Summary: These beans will benefit from this weather and will need all the help they can get. Canopy height was 31inches and the first node was 5 inches high. We rate these beans as Good.Highland CountyHighland CountyFayette County Corn Summary: This ground is dry, but the plants are healthy. Very little Grey and some bird damage. Ear count was right at 25 and our yield guess is 150, but we have a feeling these will do a lot better in other parts of this field.Fayette CountyFayette CountyFayette County Soybean Summary: By far, the tallest beans we have seen on tour and probably the tallest we have ever seen with a canopy of 57 inches. This crop is still setting pods but not without a good rain here soon. With the tall beans come a very average pod set at this point. No insects and very few disease issues in this field. The first node was found at about a foot up the plant. We rate this field as Good.Fayette CountyFayette County Ross County Corn Summary: Ear count here was low because of some skips and that ended up making our yield guess lower than expected. We did note some Northern above the ear and some nitrogen deficiency. One half of the the tip did not pollinate. The stalk wasn’t girthy and we saw some smut here as well. Our yield guess is 151 bushels to the acre.Ross CountyRoss County Soybean Summary: These double crop beans are off to a great start. The field is very clean, healthy and with good moisture here. Saw some light Beetle feeding and very minor Frog Eye. Canopy height was 30 inches and the first flower was 5 inches up the stalk. Good to Excellent is how we rate this field. Plenty of potential.Ross CountyRoss CountyFairfield County Corn Summary: This is some of the younger corn we have seen today. They have seen enough moisture here but some cracks in the soil prove that more is needed. Ran into some green snap here, but not much. Some GLS and a dab of rust. Ear count was 30 and our yield guess was 153.Fairfield CountyFairfield CountyFairfield County Soybean Summary: A fairly even stand here with excellent weed control. Plants are still pollinating. The pod set is okay but nodes are far apart. A lot of energy went into growing these beans tall and not pod production. Found some slight Downy Mildew but nothing significant. Canopy height was 42 inches and the first node began 5 inches up the stalk. We rate this field in the Fair to Good category.Fairfield CountyFairfield CountyPickaway County Corn Summary: The first thing we noticed here was this corn running out of nitrogen. We found our first corn leaf aphid and some eggs on one leaf. Lots of Grey below the ear and some tip back starting to happen here. Some hail damage was also found in this field that we calculate a yield of 191 with an ear count of 30.Pickaway CountyPickaway CountyPickaway County Soybean Summary: Some minor hail damage here too, but the week control here has been great. Some more grasshoppers and Japanese Beetles were seen and although this field is okay on moisture, another rain or two will be helpful. We rate this field as Good.Pickaway CountyPickaway CountyMadison County Corn Summary: This was a demonstration plot at Farm Science Review so it was much further along. Good ear fill overall but tip back was evident. Saw song bird damage here and minimal GLS below the ear. An ear count of 31 and a yield guess of 160, but FSR Manager Nate Douridas told us that under any other circumstances this field would have been replanted. Madison CountyMadison CountyMadison County Soybean Summary: After about a quarter inch of rain this morning, these fields were very wet. The field was cleaner than our boots. Some hail damage was noticed and slight Frog Eye was here too. Canopy height was about 38 inches and the first node was 3 inches high. The pod set was one of the more impressive ones were have seen over the two days. We rate this field Good to Excellent. Madison CountyMadison CountyClark County Corn Summary: This field is as far along as we have seen, well into dent. Lower leaves are firing and it looks like an application is stopping the Grey and Northern. Ear count was aggressive at 35 and ear fill was really nice here. Our yield guess here is an even 200. Clark CountyClark CountyClark County Soybean Summary: Not much bad to say about these soybeans. This field is extremely clean and the only ding on this crop is about 1 to 2 percent of white mold. These beans were tall (4 ft canopy) and thick. First node starts at 7 inches up the plant. Disease and insect are no where to be found here. We rate this field as Excellent. Clark CountyClark CountyChampaign County Corn Summary: This was a twin-row field in really good dirt. Despite twin rows, ear count remained pretty standard at 33. Saw some Grey and Northern with minimal insect pressure in this corn in dent. Our yield calc here is 193. Champaign CountyChampaign CountyChampaign County Soybean Summary: This twin-row field was pretty wavy and we noticed a lot of early pods aborted. With that said, they were still flowering some and SDS was starting to set in. Canopy height was 42 inches and first not came at 6 inches up. We rate this field as Good. Champaign CountyChampaign CountyUnion County Corn Summary: We wondered what we might be getting into when we saw the end rows here, but the field was significantly healthier once we got into it. Ear count was 33. One of our 3 ear samples showed about an half inch of tip back and the other had great ear fill, but smaller ears. Some disease below the ear but the higher leaves looked great. No insects to speak of. Our yield estimate here is 150 bushels to the acre. Union CountyUnion CountyUnion County Soybean Summary:We saw more Frog Eye here than we have seen elsewhere on tour. If this field gets some good August rains (more than they got here this morning) this field will do very well. Canopy height was 44 inches and the first node was 6 inches high. We rate this field as Excellent. Union CountyUnion County
Michael Hussey and Suresh Raina put on 137 runs for the second wicket as Chennai beat Rajasthan by 8 wickets at the MA Chidambaram Stadium in Chepauk, Chennai, on Wednesday. Score | PhotosBatting second Chennai crossed a good 148-run target with eight balls and an equal number of wickets remaining.The onus for the win was jointly shared by Michael Hussey (79 not out) and Suresh Raina (61), who nullified Rajasthan opener Rahul Dravid’s impressive 66.Chennai lost their opener Murali Vijay early. On the fifth ball of the second Johan Botha trapped opener Murali Vijay on five to reduce Chennai to 8/1.Post Vijay’s fall, Michael Hussey and Suresh Raina batted steadily. Gradually the two upped the scoring rate and started dealing in boundaries. After 10 overs, Chennai were well on course with 73/1 on board.In the 13th over both batsmen scored their half-centuries and by the end of the over the team total was 109/1.Soon the two were seen pounding opposition bowlers even as Rajasthan skipper Shane Warne was struggling for an answer to their batting blitzkrieg.Suresh Raina fell on the third ball of the 19th over when Chennai were just three runs away for a victory. He mistimed a pull shot of Siddharth Trivedi and ended up getting caught by Johan Botha on 61. His 51-ball innings was decorated with three fours and one six.However, Hussey finished the job for Chennai hitting a four on the next ball to help Chennai win by 8 wickets and maintain their 100 per cent victory record at home in IPL season 4.advertisementHussey’s 79 came off 55 balls and included eight four and one six.Rajasthan inningsRajasthan opener Rahul Dravid scored 66 as Chennai restricted Rajasthan to 147/6 in 20 overs during their IPL match.Earlier, Rajasthan captain Shane Warne won the toss and elected to bat in the 43rd IPL match of the IPL season 4.Rajasthan openers Rahul Dravid and Shane Watson got on with a good partnership for the first wicket putting on 86 runs on board and that too with ease. The two carried on till the 10 overs frustrating the opposition bowlers.It wasn’t until the 11th over that Chennai bowlers managed to break the Dravid-Watson stand.On the first ball of the 11th over Shadab Jakati got the better of Aussie Shane Watson with a caught and bowled decision on 32.Later, in the 13th over new man in the middle, Ashok Menaria fell off R Ashwin when the team total was 92. Then Rajasthan’s South African recruit Johan Botha, who has been having a good run this season, became Jakati’s second victim. An edge off his ball got carried away towards Suresh Raina in the covers when he took an easy catch to dismiss Botha on 8. Rajasthan were 109/3 post his fall.Unfortunately for Rajasthan, Rahul Dravid, who was batting with determination could not score a ton and fell in the 16th over off Sri Lankan Suraj Randiv.The Rajasthan opener made room for a pull and went for it but Murali Vijay at deep mid-wicket ensured that his shot did not travel any further and caught him nice and easy on 66. His 51-ball innings was punctuated with 10 fours. Surprisingly the pull he got out on, proved to be the only big aerial shot in his innings. Rajasthan were 117/4 post his fall.Post Dravid’s fall, Rajasthan lost the plot a little and Chennai bowlers started striking with renewed vigour. In the 19th over Albie Morkel got rid of Ajinkya Rahane and Ross Taylor in a row to reduce Rajasthan to 139/6.Dishant Yagnik and Stuart Binny remained unbeaten as Rajasthan scored 147/6.
National titleCollege football fans are likely happy with Michigan’s quick turnaround under Jim Harbaugh – simply because a good Wolverines team makes the sport more interesting. But apparently, a lot of them are actually starting to believe that UM can both reach this year’s College Football Playoff and – wait for it – win it all too.According to ESPN’s David Payne Purdum, the top five teams by number of bets to win the national title at the Las Vegas SuperBook are Michigan, Ohio State, LSU, Clemson and Alabama. That’s right – the Wolverines are getting the most bets to win it all.Of course – that’s a product of both hype and odds. As of February 1, Michigan was a 12-1 bet to win it all. Alabama was tops, at 6:1.Top 5 teams to win the college football national title by number of bets @LVSuperBook: 1. Michigan 2. Ohio St 3. LSU 4. Clemson 5. Alabama— David Payne Purdum (@DavidPurdum) May 20, 2016Oklahoma and Baylor are the teams with the best odds that aren’t part of the list, for what it’s worth.If Michigan does win it all, Las Vegas is going to have a rough night. We’ll find out.
Temple of the Dog — the Seattle supergroup featuring Soundgarden’s Chris Cornell, Pearl Jam’s Jeff Ament, Stone Gossard, and Mike McCready, and drummer Matt Cameron (who plays drums with both Soundgarden and Pearl Jam) — has reunited and will tour for the first time ever since forming in 1990.The band will play five cities, Philadelphia, New York, San Francisco, Los Angeles, and Seattle, in November.A special ticket pre-sale for fans signed up to the Ten Club, Soundgarden, and Chris Cornell email lists begins immediately and runs through July 27th. Tickets will go on sale to the general public on Friday, July 29th, at 12:00 PM local time. $1.50 from each ticket sold will benefit the Chris and Vicky Cornell Foundation and an additional $1.50 will benefit Pearl Jam’s Vitalogy Foundation.The tour marks the 25th anniversary of the release of Temple of the Dog’s first and only album, a self-titled set that was released by A&M Records on April 16th, 1991. “We wanted to do the one thing we never got to do … play shows and see what it feels like to be the band that we walked away from 25 years ago,” Cornell says of the 2016 tour.On September 30th UMe will release a special Temple of the Dog 25th anniversary reissue collection of their landmark album, newly mixed by Brendan O’Brien. The collection will be available in four configurations, including a four disc Super Deluxe, a double LP, a two CD Deluxe, and a single CD. Physical pre-orders are available today along with a detailed list of the contents of each configuration HERE.Temple of the Dog came together from the ashes of Mother Love Bone following the death from a drug overdose of its frontman Andrew Wood, Cornell’s close friend and roommate. Cornell wrote future TOTD songs “Say Hello 2 Heaven” and “Reach Down” to help process his grief, “but the songs didn’t have any destination,” he says. “I was compelled to write them and there they were – written in a vacuum as a tribute to Andy. My thought was that maybe I could record these songs with the remaining members of Mother Love Bone and that maybe we could release them as a tribute.”Mother Love Bone’s Gossard and Ament began playing with McCready, and they brought in Soundgarden’s Cameron to drum on demos. Because this was a collaboration, and a tribute, there was no commercial expectation for the Temple of the Dog album. It would be, Gossard would later observe, “the easiest and most beautiful record that we’ve ever been involved with.” Adds Cornell: “Temple was about making an album simply for the joy of doing it. We weren’t concerned what anyone outside of our group of friends would think of it. It was the first and maybe only stress-free album that we all made.”Gossard, Ament, and McCready were also simultaneously forming a new band, which more than six months later would be known as Pearl Jam. A singer from San Diego named Eddie Vedder, who was vying to lead the project, came into the studio to sing background vocals on three of the Temple songs. When Cornell thought another song, “Hunger Strike,” needed a duet, Vedder was enlisted. “Hunger Strike” became a hit single, peaking at No. 4 on Billboard’s Mainstream Rock Tracks chart.Temple of the Dog performed live only a handful of times, most notably in Seattle, in November and December of 1990. Those shows have become some of the most legendary Seattle concerts of all-time. Their 2016 shows mark the first time the band has ever toured. (Cornell joined Pearl Jam in 2014 at the Bridge School show and for two nights at PJ20 in Alpine Valley, WI, and the Temple line-up played “Reach Down” and “Call Me a Dog” at Seattle’s Benaroya Hall in January 2015.)“This is something no one has ever seen,” Cornell says of the official reunion. “We wanted to stop and recognize that we did this and pay homage.”Temple of the Dog’s upcoming tour dates are as follows:11/04 Philadelphia, PA Tower Theater 11/07 New York, NY Madison Square Garden 11/11 San Francisco, CA Bill Graham Civic Center 11/14 Los Angeles, CA The Forum 11/20 Seattle, WA Paramount Theater
APTN National NewsThe Yukon has a new premier.In a landslide vote this weekend, the Yukon party chose Darrell Pasloski as their new leader.Pasloski is a Whitehorse pharmacist and businessman who has never held elected office. He ran unsuccessfully for the Conservatives in the 2008 federal election.He currently does not hold a seat in the Yukon legislative assembly.Pasloski replaces Dennis Fentie who is retiring. Fenti has led the Yukon government since 2002.Pasloski will have to call a territorial election before mid-October.As premier, he says he will focus on building a strong cabinet and working on current issues.
Other factors also affect a coach’s odds of being fired. Deep playoff runs help coaches. First-year coaches sometimes get mulligans and are less likely to be fired. We’ll save that discussion for another post, however.The lesson is simple: A coach is not long for his job when expectations run wild, as they often do in New York. With the benefit of hindsight, it now seems likely that Woodson’s Knicks overachieved in the 2012-13 season. That only made it harder for him to keep his job this year. It was the age of foolishness. It was the summer of trading three draft picks for Andrea Bargnani. It was the autumn of J.R. Smith being suspended for marijuana possession. It was the winter of disparaging the shot clock. It was the New York Knicks’ 2013-14 season. So when Mike Woodson was fired as the coach of the Knicks on a warm, spring day in Gotham Monday, New York breathed a sigh of relief.But Woodson’s problem wasn’t just that the Knicks were bad. The Knicks are usually bad. Woodson’s problem was that the Knicks — for a change — were expected to be good. They’d won 54 games and gone to the Eastern Conference semifinals the year before. Preseason over-under lines pegged their win total at 49.5 games. When my ESPN colleague Kevin Pelton, through his SCHOENE system, instead projected the Knicks to win 37 games, his projection threatened to turn Knickerblogger, the eminently sane and stats-friendly blog, into the basketball version of “unskewed polls.”The Knicks went 37 and 45.In the NBA, where about 30 percent of the league turns its head coach over every season, these expectations matter as much as reality. I mean that literally: Las Vegas’s preseason over-under lines predict coach turnover just as well as actual wins and losses do.I went back and collected preseason over-under lines dating back to the 2006-07 season. I compared them to each team’s actual record during the regular season. Then I ran a logistic regression analysis. The dependent variable is whether the team kept the same head coach from the start of that regular season to the next one. Here are the results:The regression output contains two variables: exp_w (the number of games a team was expected to win, per Las Vegas) and act_w (actual wins). For the 2011-12 NBA season, which was shortened by a player lockout, I’ve prorated both totals to 82 games.You may notice that the coefficient on each variable is almost identical, though they have opposite signs. What that means is that an expected win hurts a coach about as much as an actual win helps him.The graph below provides an illustration of this, and measures the probability of a coaching change under two scenarios: a team (like this year’s Sacramento Kings) that was expected to win 30 games, and a team (like the Knicks) that was expected to win 50. If the projected 30-win team wins 35 games, just slightly better than expectations, its probability of a coaching change is only about 17 percent. If the projected 50-win team wins 45 games, just slightly worse than expectations, the probability is 37 percent instead.Lest this seem too abstract, I’ve compiled a list of all teams since the 2006-07 season that underperformed their over-under line by 10 games or more. There are 33 of these. Here’s what happened to their coaches:Nine of them were fired during the season;Nine of them were fired after the season;One of them resigned during the season;Two of them resigned after the season;Two of them, Larry Drew of the Milwaukee Bucks and Brian Shaw of the Denver Nuggets, just completed their seasons and have yet to learn their fates;The other 10 kept their jobs, although five of them were fired during or after their following season.